Updated after every match
Ligue 1 Table & Predictor 2026/27
The 2026/27 Ligue 1 table with every club’s live chances of winning the title, finishing in the top four and going down. Enter your scores for the 216 remaining matches to predict the final table.
Results up to · 90 played · 20,000 simulations
Who will win Ligue 1 and who will go down in 2026/27?
- Leaders as of 8 November 2026: Paris Saint-Germain on 23 points. Title favourites: Paris Saint-Germain at 87.1%.
- Most likely to go down: Le Havre (69.9%) and Angers (46.2%).
- 31 points bring the relegation risk under 5%; the most likely cut-off is 27 points.
- The champions are projected to finish on about 76 points.
Ligue 1 2026/27
Current projection
| # | Team | Pts | P | W | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 23 | 10 | 7 | +12 |
| 2 |  Lille | 21 | 10 | 6 | +7 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 20 | 10 | 6 | +7 |
| 4 |  Marseille | 18 | 10 | 6 | +8 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 17 | 10 | 5 | +6 |
| 6 |  Nice | 17 | 10 | 5 | +3 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 16 | 10 | 4 | +2 |
| 8 |  Rennes | 16 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 9 |  Brest | 15 | 10 | 4 | +6 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 15 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 |  Lens | 13 | 10 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 10 | 3 | -4 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | 10 | 3 | -11 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 10 | 1 | -7 |
| 16 |  Angers | 8 | 10 | 2 | -10 |
| 17 |  Troyes | 8 | 10 | 2 | -10 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 2 | 10 | 0 | -13 |
Relegation battle
31 points bring the relegation risk under 5%. Most likely cut-off: 27 points.
- Le Havre69.9%2 pts · 24 games left · 29 short of safety
- Angers46.2%8 pts · 24 games left · 23 short of safety
- Troyes43.3%8 pts · 24 games left · 23 short of safety
- Le Mans35.7%8 pts · 24 games left · 23 short of safety
- Auxerre4.4%10 pts · 24 games left · 21 short of safety
Where your team finishes
Pick a team to see its chance of finishing in each position.
Understand the numbers
Ligue 1 relegation odds 2026/27
The clubs most at risk of dropping into Ligue 2 right now are Le Havre (69.9%), Angers (46.2%), Troyes (43.3%) and Le Mans (35.7%). On current projections, 31 points would leave any team with less than a 5% chance of going down. The team in 16th goes into a relegation play-off.
Ligue 1 title odds
Paris Saint-Germain are favourites, with a 87.1% chance of winning the league. Also in the race: Paris FC (5.2%), Monaco (2.8%), Lille (2.4%) and Rennes (1.2%). The champions should finish on about 76 points.
Top-four race
The top four qualify for the Champions League, directly or through the qualifying rounds. The best chances right now belong to Paris Saint-Germain (99.6%), Paris FC (70.7%), Monaco (59.8%), Lille (52.4%), Rennes (42.8%), Lyon (31.9%) and Marseille (23.8%).
How the predictor works
The model rates every team on level, attack, defence and club size, based on recent results in all competitions and the quality of the opposition, and adds home advantage. That way, a few early-season results can’t turn an average side into title favourites. From those ratings it estimates how many goals each team should score in every remaining match, then plays out the rest of the season 20,000 times and counts how often each club wins the title, reaches the Champions League or goes down.
When you enter a score, it counts in every simulation and the chances update instantly. The top three qualify directly for the Champions League and fourth goes into its qualifying rounds. Fifth goes to the Europa League and sixth to the Conference League. The team in 16th plays a relegation play-off against a Ligue 2 side, and the bottom two go down automatically. European places can shift with the Coupe de France winner and the UEFA rankings. Teams level on points are separated by goal difference, then goals scored.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the current Ligue 1 table?
Paris Saint-Germain lead Ligue 1 on 23 points from 10 games, ahead of Lille (21) and Paris FC (20). Troyes (8) and Le Havre (2) are in the automatic relegation places.
How does the Ligue 1 table predictor work?
It plays out the 216 remaining Ligue 1 2026/27 matches 20,000 times. In each simulation, goals are drawn from each team’s strength (level, attack, defence and club size, measured from recent results against opponents of every standard) plus home advantage. A club’s title or relegation chance is the share of simulations in which it happens.
Who will win Ligue 1 in 2026/27?
On the current simulation, Paris Saint-Germain are favourites with a 87.1% chance of the title. Paris FC (5.2%), Monaco (2.8%), Lille (2.4%) and Rennes (1.2%) are also in contention.
Who will be relegated from Ligue 1 in 2026/27?
The two clubs most likely to go down automatically right now are Le Havre (69.9%) and Angers (46.2%).
How many points are needed to stay up in Ligue 1?
On the current simulation, a team finishing on 31 points has less than a 5% chance of relegation. The most likely points total for the 16th-placed team, the last one clear of automatic relegation (it goes into the play-off), is 27.
How many points will the Ligue 1 champions need in 2026/27?
The simulation projects the champions to finish on about 76 points, most likely between 70 and 83.
Who will finish in the Ligue 1 top four?
The clubs most likely to finish in the top four, and qualify for the Champions League, are Paris Saint-Germain (99.6%), Paris FC (70.7%), Monaco (59.8%), Lille (52.4%), Rennes (42.8%) and Lyon (31.9%).
Can I share my prediction?
Yes. Tap Share to create an image of your final table, dated and with a link to the predictor. The link keeps your scores until the next match finishes.
- Em português (Brasil): Tabela do Campeonato Francês
- En français: Classement Ligue 1