Updated after every match
Liga Portugal Table & Predictor 2026/27
The 2026/27 Liga Portugal table with every club’s live chances of winning the title, finishing in the top two and going down. Enter your scores for the 244 remaining matches to predict the final table.
Results up to · 62 played · 20,000 simulations
At a glance
- Leaders: FC Porto on 21 points. Title favourites: FC Porto at 52.0%.
- Most likely to go down: Nacional (44.8%) and Casa Pia (44.3%).
- 32 points bring the relegation risk under 5%; the most likely cut-off is 30 points.
- The champions are projected to finish on about 84 points.
Liga Portugal 2026/27
Current projection
| # | Team | Pts | P | W | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 21 | 7 | 7 | +15 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 16 | 7 | 5 | +15 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 15 | 7 | 4 | +9 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 15 | 7 | 4 | +7 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | 7 | 3 | +3 |
| 6 |  Braga | 11 | 6 | 3 | +2 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 8 |  Estrela da Amadora | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 8 | 7 | 2 | -6 |
| 10 |  Gil Vicente | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | 7 | 2 | -4 |
| 12 |  Alverca | 8 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 |  Famalicão | 7 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 5 | 7 | 1 | -3 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 4 | 7 | 1 | -8 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 4 | 7 | 1 | -10 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 4 | 7 | 1 | -13 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 2 | 7 | 0 | -7 |
Matchweek 8
09/10 to 11/10
- 09/10 18:45MoreirensexGil VicenteMOR 36%Draw 28%GIL 36%
- 09/10 20:15BragaxSporting CPBRAGA 33%Draw 25%SPORT 42%
- 10/10 12:00FamalicãoxAlvercaFAM 58%Draw 25%ALV 17%
- 10/10 15:30Casa PiaxSanta ClaraCAS 24%Draw 28%SANTA 48%
- 10/10 18:00MarítimoxFC PortoMART 7%Draw 14%PORTO 80%
- 10/10 20:30Académico de ViseuxEstoril PraiaACAD 44%Draw 28%EST 29%
- 11/10 15:30Rio AvexNacionalRIO 45%Draw 28%CDN 26%
- 11/10 18:00BenficaxVitória de GuimarãesBEN 83%Draw 11%VITR 5%
- 11/10 20:30AroucaxEstrela da AmadoraFCA 56%Draw 23%CFE 21%
Relegation battle
32 points bring the relegation risk under 5%. Most likely cut-off: 30 points.
- Nacional44.8%4 pts · 27 games left · 28 short of safety
- Casa Pia44.3%4 pts · 27 games left · 28 short of safety
- Estoril Praia35.0%2 pts · 27 games left · 30 short of safety
- Rio Ave25.5%4 pts · 27 games left · 28 short of safety
- Marítimo24.2%8 pts · 27 games left · 24 short of safety
- Moreirense10.0%8 pts · 27 games left · 24 short of safety
- Vitória de Guimarães4.8%5 pts · 27 games left · 27 short of safety
- Estrela da Amadora4.8%10 pts · 27 games left · 22 short of safety
Where your team finishes
Pick a team to see its chance of finishing in each position.
Understand the numbers
Liga Portugal relegation odds 2026/27
The clubs most at risk of dropping into Liga Portugal 2 right now are Nacional (44.8%), Casa Pia (44.3%), Estoril Praia (35.0%), Rio Ave (25.5%), Marítimo (24.2%) and Moreirense (10.0%). On current projections, 32 points would leave any team with less than a 5% chance of going down. The team in 16th goes into a relegation play-off.
Liga Portugal title odds
FC Porto are favourites, with a 52.0% chance of winning the league. Also in the race: Benfica (31.3%) and Sporting CP (16.0%). The champions should finish on about 84 points.
Top-two race
The top two qualify for the Champions League, directly or through the qualifying rounds. The best chances right now belong to FC Porto (81.8%), Benfica (70.0%) and Sporting CP (44.7%).
How the predictor works
The model rates every team on level, attack, defence and club size, based on recent results in all competitions and the quality of the opposition, and adds home advantage. That way, a few early-season results can’t turn an average side into title favourites. From those ratings it estimates how many goals each team should score in every remaining match, then plays out the rest of the season 20,000 times and counts how often each club wins the title, reaches the Champions League or goes down.
When you enter a score, it counts in every simulation and the chances update instantly. The champions qualify directly for the Champions League and the runners-up enter its qualifying rounds. Third goes to the Europa League and fourth to the Conference League. The team in 16th plays a relegation play-off against a Liga Portugal 2 side, and the bottom two go down automatically. European places can shift with the Taça de Portugal winner and the UEFA rankings. Teams level on points are separated by head-to-head first, then goal difference, then goals scored.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the current Liga Portugal table?
FC Porto lead Liga Portugal on 21 points from 7 games, ahead of Benfica (16) and Sporting CP (15). Casa Pia (4) and Estoril Praia (2) are in the automatic relegation places.
How does the Liga Portugal table predictor work?
It plays out the 244 remaining Liga Portugal 2026/27 matches 20,000 times. In each simulation, goals are drawn from each team’s strength (level, attack, defence and club size, measured from recent results against opponents of every standard) plus home advantage. A club’s title or relegation chance is the share of simulations in which it happens.
Who will win Liga Portugal in 2026/27?
On the current simulation, FC Porto are favourites with a 52.0% chance of the title. Benfica (31.3%) and Sporting CP (16.0%) are also in contention.
Who will be relegated from Liga Portugal in 2026/27?
The two clubs most likely to go down automatically right now are Nacional (44.8%) and Casa Pia (44.3%).
How many points are needed to stay up in Liga Portugal?
On the current simulation, a team finishing on 32 points has less than a 5% chance of relegation. The most likely points total for the 16th-placed team, the last one clear of automatic relegation (it goes into the play-off), is 30.
How many points will the Liga Portugal champions need in 2026/27?
The simulation projects the champions to finish on about 84 points, most likely between 79 and 89.
Who will finish in the Liga Portugal top two?
The clubs most likely to finish in the top two, and qualify for the Champions League, are FC Porto (81.8%), Benfica (70.0%) and Sporting CP (44.7%).
Can I share my prediction?
Yes. Tap Share to create an image of your final table, dated and with a link to the predictor. The link keeps your scores until the next match finishes.
- Em português (Brasil): Tabela do Campeonato Português
- Em português (Portugal): Classificação da Liga Portugal